ZOB Ahan vs Mes Shahr-e Babak: prediction and stats
Persian Gulf Pro LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Foolad Shahr Stadium, Fuladshahr
The Footlab model makes ZOB Ahan the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Mes Shahr-e Babak. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ZOB Ahan vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate ZOB Ahan (1,678) and Mes Shahr-e Babak (1,669).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ZOB Ahan have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Mes Shahr-e Babak have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Malavan(away) | 1-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Foolad FC(home) | 0-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Foolad FC(away) | 1-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Aluminium Arak(away) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Fajr Sepasi(home) | 2-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kheybar Khorramabad(home) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Esteghlal FC(away) | 0-4 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Naft Gachsaran(away) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Mes Soongoun(home) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm(away) | 3-1 | Azadegan League |
How many goals should we expect?
ZOB Ahan score 0.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mes Shahr-e Babak score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZOB Ahan | 0.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Mes Shahr-e Babak | 1.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ZOB Ahan sit 12th in Persian Gulf Pro League (1 points from 2 matches) and Mes Shahr-e Babak sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | ZOB Ahan | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ZOB Ahan vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
- The Footlab model makes ZOB Ahan the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Mes Shahr-e Babak.
- Where and when is ZOB Ahan vs Mes Shahr-e Babak played?
- ZOB Ahan vs Mes Shahr-e Babak is played on August 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Foolad Shahr Stadium, in the Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 23, 2026Esteghlal FC2-0Sepahan FC
- Aug 23, 2026Esteghlal Khuzestan1-1Nassaji Mazandaran
- Aug 23, 2026Shams Azar Qazvin1-2Aluminium Arak
- Aug 24, 2026Tractor SazivsPersepolis FC
- Aug 24, 2026Kheybar KhorramabadvsPaykan
- Aug 24, 2026MalavanvsFajr Sepasi
- Aug 24, 2026Gol GoharvsChadormalu SC
- Aug 24, 2026Sanat NaftvsFoolad FC