Fajr Sepasi vs ZOB Ahan: prediction and stats
Persian Gulf Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Hafezieh Stadium, Shiraz
The Footlab model makes Fajr Sepasi the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for ZOB Ahan. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fajr Sepasi vs ZOB Ahan?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Fajr Sepasi (1,727) and ZOB Ahan (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fajr Sepasi have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; ZOB Ahan have 1, 8 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Malavan(away) | 1-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sanat Naft(home) | 0-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kheybar Khorramabad(away) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Esteghlal FC(away) | 1-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Shams Azar Qazvin(home) | 1-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Mes Shahr-e Babak(home) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Malavan(away) | 1-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Foolad FC(home) | 0-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Foolad FC(away) | 1-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Aluminium Arak(away) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Fajr Sepasi win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 ZOB Ahan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | ZOB Ahan 2-1 Fajr Sepasi | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Fajr Sepasi 1-0 ZOB Ahan | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| May 19, 2022 | Fajr Sepasi 0-1 ZOB Ahan | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Jan 3, 2022 | ZOB Ahan 2-0 Fajr Sepasi | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Sep 8, 2017 | ZOB Ahan 2-2 Fajr Sepasi | Hazfi Cup |
Last archived meeting: ZOB Ahan vs Fajr Sepasi on Feb 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fajr Sepasi score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; ZOB Ahan score 0.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fajr Sepasi | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| ZOB Ahan | 0.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fajr Sepasi sit 7th in Persian Gulf Pro League (5 points from 3 matches) and ZOB Ahan sit 12th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fajr Sepasi | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | ZOB Ahan | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fajr Sepasi vs ZOB Ahan?
- The Footlab model makes Fajr Sepasi the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for ZOB Ahan.
- Where and when is Fajr Sepasi vs ZOB Ahan played?
- Fajr Sepasi vs ZOB Ahan is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Hafezieh Stadium, in the Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Chadormalu SCvsTractor Sazi
- Aug 28, 2026PaykanvsEsteghlal Khuzestan
- Aug 28, 2026Aluminium ArakvsKheybar Khorramabad
- Aug 28, 2026Nassaji MazandaranvsShams Azar Qazvin
- Aug 28, 2026Sepahan FCvsGol Gohar
- Aug 28, 2026Foolad FCvsEsteghlal FC
- Aug 29, 2026Mes Shahr-e BabakvsSanat Naft
- Aug 29, 2026Persepolis FCvsMalavan