Match

Zvijezda Gradačac vs Velež: prediction and stats

CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Banja Ilidža, Gradačac

Zvijezda GradačacVelež

The Footlab AI model makes Velež the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Zvijezda Gradačac. The most likely score is 1-1. If Velež wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zvijezda Gradačac vs Velež?

Velež is a heavy favourite: 1,628 Elo points against 1,323, a 305-point gap.

19%24%57%
Zvijezda Gradačac winDrawVelež win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Zvijezda Gradačac vs Velež

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Zvijezda Gradačac

Not enough data to predict the Zvijezda Gradačac lineup.

Velež

3-5-2
  1. 19M. Rahimić
  2. 32B. Tatar
  1. 80N. Stojanović
  2. 10D. Salcin
  3. 77A. Bešagić
  4. 6Rafidine Abdullah
  5. 11A. Mesic
  1. 13A. Omerović
  2. 5M. Abdallah
  3. 8A. Hrkać
  1. 1F. Ribić

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:55 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zvijezda Gradačac have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Velež have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zvijezda Gradačac
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Igman Konjic(away)0-11st League - FBiH
Oct 10, 2026Bratstvo Gračanica(home)0-11st League - FBiH
Oct 3, 2026Stupčanica Olovo(away)1-11st League - FBiH
Sep 26, 2026Jedinstvo Bihać(home)3-11st League - FBiH
Sep 20, 2026Travnik(away)0-11st League - FBiH
Velež
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Siroki Brijeg(home)0-0Premijer Liga
Sep 19, 2026Zrinjski(away)0-2Premijer Liga
Sep 13, 2026FK Sarajevo(home)1-0Premijer Liga
Sep 6, 2026Zeljeznicar Sarajevo(away)1-3Premijer Liga
Sep 2, 2026Radnik Bijeljina(home)1-1Premijer Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Zvijezda Gradačac wins, 2 draws, 2 Velež wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2019Zvijezda Gradačac 1-0 Velež1st League - FBiH
Sep 15, 2018Velež 7-0 Zvijezda Gradačac1st League - FBiH
May 26, 2018Zvijezda Gradačac 2-1 Velež1st League - FBiH
Nov 4, 2017Velež 1-1 Zvijezda Gradačac1st League - FBiH
May 27, 2017Velež 2-0 Zvijezda Gradačac1st League - FBiH
Nov 5, 2016Zvijezda Gradačac 0-0 Velež1st League - FBiH

Last archived meeting: Zvijezda Gradačac vs Velež on Apr 6, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Zvijezda Gradačac score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Velež score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zvijezda Gradačac1.21.126/155/15
Velež0.71.745/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Zvijezda Gradačac vs Velež?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zvijezda Gradačac vs Velež?
The Footlab AI model makes Velež the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Zvijezda Gradačac.
Where and when is Zvijezda Gradačac vs Velež played?
Zvijezda Gradačac vs Velež is played on October 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Banja Ilidža, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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