Zwaluwen vs Poortugaal: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Zwaluwenlaan, Vlaardingen
The Footlab AI model makes Zwaluwen the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Poortugaal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zwaluwen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zwaluwen vs Poortugaal?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Zwaluwen (1,842) and Poortugaal (1,765).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zwaluwen vs Poortugaal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zwaluwen
4-3-3- 8Robin Hofman
- 17Ricardo Merrelaar
- 12Raoul Gillet
- 13Jesper Gudde
- 2Mario Nijgh
- 10Jerry Scholman
- 6Erwin de Groot
- 14Nick Rutten
- 18Floris Keizerwaard
- 15Youri Verschoor
- 23Marvin van Tienen
Poortugaal
4-3-3- 9B. el Idrissi
- 7Qrushinco Rosina
- 14P. Fernand
- 16Bjorn Wagenaar
- 6Sven Breukhoven
- 2N. Voorn
- 15Daan van der Harst
- 18Baset Moshtaq
- 3S. Hamann
- 5J. den Hartog
- 1Marvin Nootenboom
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zwaluwen have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Poortugaal have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dongen(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | GOES(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Zwaluwen wins, 0 draws, 1 Poortugaal win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Poortugaal 3-1 Zwaluwen | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Poortugaal vs Zwaluwen on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zwaluwen score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Poortugaal score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zwaluwen | 2.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Poortugaal | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zwaluwen sit 6th in Derde Divisie (19 points from 11 matches) and Poortugaal sit 7th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zwaluwen | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 19 |
| 7 | Poortugaal | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 18 |
A question about Zwaluwen vs Poortugaal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zwaluwen vs Poortugaal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zwaluwen the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Poortugaal.
- Where and when is Zwaluwen vs Poortugaal played?
- Zwaluwen vs Poortugaal is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Zwaluwenlaan, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.