SVZW vs Excelsior '31: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Lageveld (SVZW), Wierden
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for SVZW. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SVZW vs Excelsior '31?
Excelsior '31 starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,804 vs 1,622).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SVZW vs Excelsior '31
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SVZW
Not enough data to predict the SVZW lineup.
Excelsior '31
Not enough data to predict the Excelsior '31 lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, SVZW have 1 win, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Excelsior '31 have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hollandia(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | TEC(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | ACV(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 5-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC '34(home) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 SVZW wins, 0 draws, 1 Excelsior '31 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Excelsior '31 4-0 SVZW | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior '31 vs SVZW on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SVZW score 1.0 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 14; Excelsior '31 score 2.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SVZW | 1.0 | 2.8 | 1 | 6/14 | 9/14 |
| Excelsior '31 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SVZW sit 18th in Derde Divisie (1 point from 10 matches) and Excelsior '31 sit 4th (22 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Excelsior '31 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 22 |
| 18 | SVZW | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 1 |
A question about SVZW vs Excelsior '31?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SVZW vs Excelsior '31?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for SVZW.
- Where and when is SVZW vs Excelsior '31 played?
- SVZW vs Excelsior '31 is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:45 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Lageveld (SVZW), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.