Excelsior Maassluis vs FC Lisse: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Dijkpolder, Maassluis
The Footlab model makes Excelsior Maassluis the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for FC Lisse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior Maassluis vs FC Lisse?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Excelsior Maassluis (1,783) and FC Lisse (1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior Maassluis have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; FC Lisse have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Groene Ster(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aalsmeer(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Excelsior Maassluis win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FC Lisse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Excelsior Maassluis 5-0 FC Lisse | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 26, 2023 | FC Lisse 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 FC Lisse | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 3, 2022 | FC Lisse 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 31, 2018 | Excelsior Maassluis 2-0 FC Lisse | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 14, 2017 | FC Lisse 2-3 Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior Maassluis vs FC Lisse on Jan 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior Maassluis score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Lisse score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Maassluis | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Lisse | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior Maassluis sit 4th in Derde Divisie (4 points from 2 matches) and FC Lisse sit 3rd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Lisse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior Maassluis vs FC Lisse?
- The Footlab model makes Excelsior Maassluis the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for FC Lisse.
- Where and when is Excelsior Maassluis vs FC Lisse played?
- Excelsior Maassluis vs FC Lisse is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Dijkpolder, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.