Rijnvogels vs Zwaluwen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Kooltuin, Katwijk aan Zee
The Footlab AI model makes Rijnvogels the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Zwaluwen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rijnvogels wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,316 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rijnvogels vs Zwaluwen?
On Elo ratings, Rijnvogels has 1,882 points and Zwaluwen 1,842.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rijnvogels vs Zwaluwen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rijnvogels
4-3-3- 9M. van der Meer
- 10Boris van der Wiel
- 22N. Haddadi
- 6Jay Zandbergen
- 8Jesse Driebergen
- 11Y. Kaabouni
- 4K. Michel
- 2K. Gómez-Nieto
- 5J. Scholten
- 26D. van der Plas
- 23D. van de Riet
Zwaluwen
4-3-3- 8Robin Hofman
- 17Ricardo Merrelaar
- 12Raoul Gillet
- 13Jesper Gudde
- 2Mario Nijgh
- 10Jerry Scholman
- 6Erwin de Groot
- 14Nick Rutten
- 18Floris Keizerwaard
- 15Youri Verschoor
- 23Marvin van Tienen
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 07:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rijnvogels have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Zwaluwen have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 3-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Lisse(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Groene Ster(home) | 5-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Rijnvogels win, 1 draw, 0 Zwaluwen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Zwaluwen 1-2 Rijnvogels | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Rijnvogels 1-1 Zwaluwen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
Last archived meeting: Zwaluwen vs Rijnvogels on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rijnvogels score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zwaluwen score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijnvogels | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Zwaluwen | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rijnvogels sit 4th in Derde Divisie (24 points from 12 matches) and Zwaluwen sit 5th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 24 |
| 5 | Zwaluwen | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 22 |
A question about Rijnvogels vs Zwaluwen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rijnvogels vs Zwaluwen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rijnvogels the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Zwaluwen.
- Where and when is Rijnvogels vs Zwaluwen played?
- Rijnvogels vs Zwaluwen is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Kooltuin, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.