1º de Maio vs Sporting de Cabinda: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, Benguela
The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Sporting de Cabinda. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1º de Maio vs Sporting de Cabinda?
1º de Maio starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,589 vs 1,452).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1º de Maio have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Sporting de Cabinda have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 10, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(home) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 25, 2024 | Interclube(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 18, 2024 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 2-4 | Girabola |
| May 11, 2024 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
| May 8, 2024 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 1º de Maio win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sporting de Cabinda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2018 | 1º de Maio 1-0 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
| May 5, 2018 | Sporting de Cabinda 2-0 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Sep 28, 2014 | 1º de Maio 2-2 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
| May 3, 2014 | Sporting de Cabinda 1-0 1º de Maio | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: 1º de Maio vs Sporting de Cabinda on Aug 23, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting de Cabinda score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1º de Maio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Sporting de Cabinda | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1º de Maio sit 7th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and Sporting de Cabinda sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1º de Maio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Sporting de Cabinda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1º de Maio vs Sporting de Cabinda?
- The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Sporting de Cabinda.
- Where and when is 1º de Maio vs Sporting de Cabinda played?
- 1º de Maio vs Sporting de Cabinda is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.