1. FC Kaiserslautern vs FC St. Pauli: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Fritz-Walter-Stadion, Kaiserslautern
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Kaiserslautern the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs FC St. Pauli?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate 1. FC Kaiserslautern (1,998) and FC St. Pauli (1,962).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Kaiserslautern have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; FC St. Pauli have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(away) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1. FC Kaiserslautern win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC St. Pauli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | FC St. Pauli 2-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 29, 2023 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1-2 FC St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 12, 2023 | FC St. Pauli 1-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2022 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2-1 FC St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1-1 FC St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 13, 2017 | FC St. Pauli 1-1 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern on Jan 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Kaiserslautern score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| FC St. Pauli | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Kaiserslautern sit 14th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and FC St. Pauli sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | FC St. Pauli | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs FC St. Pauli?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Kaiserslautern the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for FC St. Pauli.
- Where and when is 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs FC St. Pauli played?
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs FC St. Pauli is played on February 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Fritz-Walter-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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