Match

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs FC St. Pauli: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Fritz-Walter-Stadion, Kaiserslautern

1. FC KaiserslauternFC St. Pauli

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Kaiserslautern the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs FC St. Pauli?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate 1. FC Kaiserslautern (1,998) and FC St. Pauli (1,962).

1. FC Kaiserslautern win48 %
Draw25 %
FC St. Pauli win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Kaiserslautern have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; FC St. Pauli have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Kaiserslautern
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)1-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)0-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(away)0-02. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Metz(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Sudtirol(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
FC St. Pauli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)0-2DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026Holstein Kiel(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Deportivo La Coruna(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026Bournemouth(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1. FC Kaiserslautern win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC St. Pauli win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 20, 2024FC St. Pauli 2-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 20231. FC Kaiserslautern 1-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Feb 12, 2023FC St. Pauli 1-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 20221. FC Kaiserslautern 2-1 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Mar 17, 20181. FC Kaiserslautern 1-1 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Oct 13, 2017FC St. Pauli 1-1 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern on Jan 20, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Kaiserslautern score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Kaiserslautern1.11.183/156/15
FC St. Pauli1.32.0012/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Kaiserslautern sit 14th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and FC St. Pauli sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13FC St. Pauli2020332
141. FC Kaiserslautern2020002

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs FC St. Pauli?
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Kaiserslautern the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for FC St. Pauli.
Where and when is 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs FC St. Pauli played?
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs FC St. Pauli is played on February 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Fritz-Walter-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1. FC Kaiserslautern and FC St. Pauli

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