SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Energie Cottbus: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth
The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Energie Cottbus?
Energie Cottbus starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Energie Cottbus have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 2-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(away) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Zurich(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Augsburg(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hannover 96(home) | 3-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Energie Cottbus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2014 | Energie Cottbus 0-6 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 1, 2013 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-0 Energie Cottbus | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 5, 2012 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-0 Energie Cottbus | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Energie Cottbus 0-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on May 4, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Energie Cottbus score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Energie Cottbus | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and Energie Cottbus sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Energie Cottbus | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Energie Cottbus?
- The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
- Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Energie Cottbus played?
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Energie Cottbus is played on February 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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