Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern played?

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. Pauli

1. FC Kaiserslautern

The Footlab model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate FC St. Pauli (1,971) and 1. FC Kaiserslautern (1,986).

FC St. Pauli win42 %

Draw26 %

1. FC Kaiserslautern win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC St. Pauli have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; 1. FC Kaiserslautern have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC St. Pauli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Holstein Kiel(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Bournemouth(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026	HNK Gorica(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

1. FC Kaiserslautern
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Karlsruher SC(home)	0-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Metz(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Sudtirol(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026	FSV Mainz 05(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC St. Pauli win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 1. FC Kaiserslautern win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 20, 2024	FC St. Pauli 2-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2023	1. FC Kaiserslautern 1-2 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Feb 12, 2023	FC St. Pauli 1-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2022	1. FC Kaiserslautern 2-1 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Mar 17, 2018	1. FC Kaiserslautern 1-1 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Oct 13, 2017	FC St. Pauli 1-1 1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern on Jan 20, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

FC St. Pauli score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Kaiserslautern score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC St. Pauli	1.4	2.0	0	13/15	11/15
1. FC Kaiserslautern	1.3	1.1	8	3/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC St. Pauli sit 13th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Kaiserslautern sit 14th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	FC St. Pauli	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
14	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2	0	2	0	0	0	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?: The Footlab model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern played?: FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.