1. FC Magdeburg vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)MDCC-Arena, Magdeburg
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Arminia Bielefeld. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs Arminia Bielefeld?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate 1. FC Magdeburg (1,982) and Arminia Bielefeld (2,017).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Magdeburg have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bahlinger SC(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(away) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(home) | 1-6 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 2-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 1-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1. FC Magdeburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Arminia Bielefeld win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 28, 2023 | 1. FC Magdeburg 4-0 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 17, 2018 | 1. FC Magdeburg 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Magdeburg vs Arminia Bielefeld on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 2.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Arminia Bielefeld?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Arminia Bielefeld.
- Where and when is 1. FC Magdeburg vs Arminia Bielefeld played?
- 1. FC Magdeburg vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on April 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at MDCC-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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