Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?

Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Arminia Bielefeld starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (2,016 vs 1,876).

Arminia Bielefeld win59 %

Draw22 %

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arminia Bielefeld
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	2-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	1-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Bologna(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	1-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(home)	2-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	FC St. Pauli(away)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026	FC Zurich(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Eintracht Bamberg(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Arminia Bielefeld win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 20, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2025	Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
May 5, 2023	Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2022	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Jan 16, 2022	Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	Bundesliga
Aug 21, 2021	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Arminia Bielefeld on Feb 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arminia Bielefeld	2.6	1.4	3	11/15	11/15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Arminia Bielefeld	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2	0	1	1	3	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?: Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.