Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld
The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for 1. FC Magdeburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Arminia Bielefeld (2,017) and 1. FC Magdeburg (1,982).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; 1. FC Magdeburg have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 2-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 1-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bahlinger SC(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(away) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(home) | 1-6 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Arminia Bielefeld win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 1. FC Magdeburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 28, 2023 | 1. FC Magdeburg 4-0 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 17, 2018 | 1. FC Magdeburg 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Magdeburg vs Arminia Bielefeld on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia Bielefeld | 2.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
- The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for 1. FC Magdeburg.
- Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg played?
- Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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