Match

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld1. FC Magdeburg

The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for 1. FC Magdeburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Arminia Bielefeld (2,017) and 1. FC Magdeburg (1,982).

Arminia Bielefeld win50 %
Draw23 %
1. FC Magdeburg win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; 1. FC Magdeburg have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)2-2DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Karlsruher SC(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026MSV Duisburg(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Bologna(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs
1. FC Magdeburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bahlinger SC(away)4-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(home)1-62. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026West Ham(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Schöningen(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Arminia Bielefeld win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 1. FC Magdeburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 20261. FC Magdeburg 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2025Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
May 28, 20231. FC Magdeburg 4-0 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Nov 13, 2022Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
Feb 17, 2019Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
Sep 17, 20181. FC Magdeburg 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Magdeburg vs Arminia Bielefeld on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arminia Bielefeld2.61.4311/1511/15
1. FC Magdeburg2.31.258/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Arminia Bielefeld2101423
101. FC Magdeburg2101463

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for 1. FC Magdeburg.
Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg played?
Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arminia Bielefeld and 1. FC Magdeburg

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