Match

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein KielVfL Wolfsburg

The Footlab AI model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1. If VfL Wolfsburg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,969) and VfL Wolfsburg (2,062).

33%26%41%
Holstein Kiel winDrawVfL Wolfsburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Holstein Kiel

4-1-4-1
  1. 19P. Harres
  1. 28J. Meffert
  2. 20A. Kaprálik
  3. 8G. Balzi
  4. 10J. Therkelsen
  5. 27I. Ugoh
  1. 32H. Sekine
  2. 13I. Nekić
  3. 5N. Madsen
  4. 47J. Tolkin
  1. 1T. Weiner

VfL Wolfsburg

4-3-3
  1. 11F. Reese
  2. 17A. Bernhardsson
  3. 19R. Glatzel
  1. 5Vinicius Souza
  2. 20M. Damar
  3. 31Y. Gerhardt
  1. 6H. Wahl
  2. 21J. Mæhle
  3. 2K. Fischer
  4. 22M. Angely
  1. 30J. Zieliński

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:07 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; VfL Wolfsburg have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Viborg(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Sep 13, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)2-22. Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)4-42. Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2026Havelse(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 18, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)5-12. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026FC St. Pauli(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)4-42. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Holstein Kiel wins, 1 draw, 2 VfL Wolfsburg wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 2025VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Holstein KielDFB Pokal
Jan 24, 2025VfL Wolfsburg 2-2 Holstein KielBundesliga
Aug 31, 2024Holstein Kiel 0-2 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Jul 14, 2021VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Holstein KielFriendlies Clubs
Aug 22, 2020VfL Wolfsburg 2-0 Holstein KielFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel on Oct 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Wolfsburg score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel1.51.7110/1510/15
VfL Wolfsburg2.71.549/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holstein Kiel sit 18th in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 7 matches) and VfL Wolfsburg sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5VfL Wolfsburg7331191212
18Holstein Kiel70437114

A question about Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The Footlab AI model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg played?
Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on April 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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