Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg played?

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on April 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein Kiel

VfL Wolfsburg

The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for VfL Wolfsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,984) and VfL Wolfsburg (2,034).

Holstein Kiel win39 %

Draw26 %

VfL Wolfsburg win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; VfL Wolfsburg have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	TSV 1860 München(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FSV Mainz 05(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

VfL Wolfsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Altglienicke(away)	3-3	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Hannover 96(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	1. FC Kaiserslautern(home)	0-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	Telstar(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Lyon(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Holstein Kiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 VfL Wolfsburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 28, 2025	VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Holstein Kiel	DFB Pokal
Jan 24, 2025	VfL Wolfsburg 2-2 Holstein Kiel	Bundesliga
Aug 31, 2024	Holstein Kiel 0-2 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga
Jul 14, 2021	VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Holstein Kiel	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 22, 2020	VfL Wolfsburg 2-0 Holstein Kiel	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel on Oct 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel	1.7	1.5	4	10/15	12/15
VfL Wolfsburg	1.7	1.1	5	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holstein Kiel sit 12th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	VfL Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
12	Holstein Kiel	2	0	2	0	4	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg?: The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for VfL Wolfsburg.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg played?: Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on April 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.