Where and when is 1461 Trabzon FK vs İnegölspor played?

1461 Trabzon FK vs İnegölspor is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1461 Trabzon FK vs İnegölspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı, Trabzon

1461 Trabzon FK

İnegölspor

The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for 1461 Trabzon FK. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1461 Trabzon FK vs İnegölspor?

İnegölspor starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,757 vs 1,655).

1461 Trabzon FK win28 %

Draw24 %

İnegölspor win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1461 Trabzon FK have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; İnegölspor have 4, 8 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1461 Trabzon FK
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Menemen FK(home)	4-5	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Kırklarelispor(away)	2-1	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Isparta 32 Spor(home)	1-3	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Adanaspor(away)	3-0	2. Lig
Mar 28, 2026	Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)	0-1	2. Lig

İnegölspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Altınordu(away)	2-2	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Ankaragücü(away)	2-1	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Elazığspor(home)	2-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Adana 01 FK(away)	1-4	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1461 Trabzon FK win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 İnegölspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2025	İnegölspor 3-1 1461 Trabzon FK	2. Lig
Dec 15, 2024	1461 Trabzon FK 1-2 İnegölspor	2. Lig
Jan 22, 2022	1461 Trabzon FK 1-0 İnegölspor	2. Lig
Sep 11, 2021	İnegölspor 0-0 1461 Trabzon FK	2. Lig
Apr 22, 2021	1461 Trabzon FK 2-2 İnegölspor	2. Lig
Dec 23, 2020	İnegölspor 0-1 1461 Trabzon FK	2. Lig

Last archived meeting: İnegölspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK on Apr 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

1461 Trabzon FK score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; İnegölspor score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1461 Trabzon FK	1.2	1.7	2	9/15	7/15
İnegölspor	1.6	1.3	5	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1461 Trabzon FK sit 11th in 2. Lig (47 points from 34 matches) and İnegölspor sit 7th (60 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	İnegölspor	36	16	12	8	67	44	60
11	1461 Trabzon FK	34	13	8	13	54	51	47

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1461 Trabzon FK vs İnegölspor?: The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for 1461 Trabzon FK.
Where and when is 1461 Trabzon FK vs İnegölspor played?: 1461 Trabzon FK vs İnegölspor is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.