İskenderunspor vs Yeni Orduspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Fuat Tosyalı Stadyumu, Hatay
The Footlab model makes İskenderunspor the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Yeni Orduspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win İskenderunspor vs Yeni Orduspor?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate İskenderunspor (1,723) and Yeni Orduspor (1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İskenderunspor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Yeni Orduspor have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ankaragücü(away) | 1-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Erbaaspor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(home) | 4-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(away) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 İskenderunspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Yeni Orduspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2022 | İskenderunspor 3-1 Yeni Orduspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Yeni Orduspor 1-3 İskenderunspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Dec 1, 2019 | İskenderunspor 1-0 Yeni Orduspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: İskenderunspor vs Yeni Orduspor on Mar 9, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
İskenderunspor score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Orduspor score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İskenderunspor | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Yeni Orduspor | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | İskenderunspor | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 44 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for İskenderunspor vs Yeni Orduspor?
- The Footlab model makes İskenderunspor the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Yeni Orduspor.
- Where and when is İskenderunspor vs Yeni Orduspor played?
- İskenderunspor vs Yeni Orduspor is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Fuat Tosyalı Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.