Match

Fethiyespor vs Ankaragücü: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Fethiye İlçe Stadyumu, Fethiye

FethiyesporAnkaragücü

The Footlab model makes Ankaragücü the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Fethiyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fethiyespor vs Ankaragücü?

Ankaragücü starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,798 vs 1,671).

Fethiyespor win36 %
Draw28 %
Ankaragücü win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fethiyespor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ankaragücü have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fethiyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Mardin 1969(away)0-02. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Güzide Gebzespor(away)2-12. Lig
Apr 4, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(away)0-42. Lig
Mar 28, 2026Bursaspor(home)1-12. Lig
Ankaragücü
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026İskenderunspor(home)4-12. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Erbaaspor(away)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026İnegölspor(home)1-22. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Kepezspor(away)3-22. Lig
Apr 3, 2026Bucaspor 1928(home)1-02. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Fethiyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ankaragücü score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fethiyespor1.31.347/157/15
Ankaragücü1.71.1410/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fethiyespor sit 13th in 2. Lig (44 points from 34 matches) and Ankaragücü sit 6th (63 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Ankaragücü361899524163
13Fethiyespor34111112524144

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fethiyespor vs Ankaragücü?
The Footlab model makes Ankaragücü the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Fethiyespor.
Where and when is Fethiyespor vs Ankaragücü played?
Fethiyespor vs Ankaragücü is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Fethiye İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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