Adana 01 FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Adana 01 FK the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Karacabey Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adana 01 FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Adana 01 FK (1,797) and Karacabey Belediyespor (1,703).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adana 01 FK have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Karacabey Belediyespor have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Elazığspor(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 2-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | İskenderunspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Erbaaspor(away) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beykoz Anadolu(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 4-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Adana 01 FK win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Karacabey Belediyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor 1-1 Adana 01 FK | 2. Lig |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Adana 01 FK 2-1 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Karacabey Belediyespor vs Adana 01 FK on Feb 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Adana 01 FK score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karacabey Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adana 01 FK | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Karacabey Belediyespor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Adana 01 FK sit 4th in 2. Lig (67 points from 36 matches) and Karacabey Belediyespor sit 13th (41 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Adana 01 FK | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 35 | 67 |
| 13 | Karacabey Belediyespor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 55 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adana 01 FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Adana 01 FK the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Karacabey Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Adana 01 FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor played?
- Adana 01 FK vs Karacabey Belediyespor is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.