15 de Agosto vs Simba: prediction and stats
CAF Champions League2nd Preliminary RoundKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for 15 de Agosto. The most likely score is 0-0. If Simba wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 15 de Agosto vs Simba?
Simba is a heavy favourite: 1,997 Elo points against 1,530, a 467-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for 15 de Agosto vs Simba
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
15 de Agosto
Not enough data to predict the 15 de Agosto lineup.
Simba
4-3-3- 7L. Gueye
- 34E. Mpanzu
- 29Ibrahim Doumbia
- 35N. Maema
- 17C. Chama
- 18M. Abraham
- 23R. De Reuck
- 26N. Chilambo
- 20A. Oura
- 39Abdoul Rafiu Kassali
- 28H. Abel
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, 15 de Agosto have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Simba have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fomboni Club(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Fomboni Club(home) | 4-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Stellenbosch(away) | 1-4 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Stellenbosch(home) | 0-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Foresters(home) | 4-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 6-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Azam(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 6-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
15 de Agosto score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 9; Simba score 2.1 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 de Agosto | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 2/9 | 5/9 |
| Simba | 2.1 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Simba | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
A question about 15 de Agosto vs Simba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 15 de Agosto vs Simba?
- The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for 15 de Agosto.
- Where and when is 15 de Agosto vs Simba played?
- 15 de Agosto vs Simba is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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