Sakaryaspor vs 24 Erzincanspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, Adapazarı
The Footlab model makes 24 Erzincanspor the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Sakaryaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sakaryaspor vs 24 Erzincanspor?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Sakaryaspor (1,661) and 24 Erzincanspor (1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sakaryaspor have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; 24 Erzincanspor have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 0-5 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Elazığspor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | İskenderunspor(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Erbaaspor(home) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | İnegölspor(away) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Sakaryaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; 24 Erzincanspor score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sakaryaspor | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| 24 Erzincanspor | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 24 Erzincanspor | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 49 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sakaryaspor vs 24 Erzincanspor?
- The Footlab model makes 24 Erzincanspor the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Sakaryaspor.
- Where and when is Sakaryaspor vs 24 Erzincanspor played?
- Sakaryaspor vs 24 Erzincanspor is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026Ankaragücüvs1461 Trabzon FK
- Oct 25, 2026Ankara Demirsporvsİskenderunspor
- Oct 25, 2026İnegölsporvsAdana 01 FK
- Oct 25, 202612 BingölsporvsKırklarelispor
- Oct 25, 2026Karacabey Belediyesporvs Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
- Oct 25, 2026Serik SporvsKütahyaspor
- Oct 25, 2026Yeni OrdusporvsBeyoğlu Yeni Çarşı