Colo Colo vs D. La Serena: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile
The Footlab AI model makes Colo Colo the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for D. La Serena. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colo Colo vs D. La Serena?
Colo Colo starts as the favourite with a 228-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,678).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colo Colo vs D. La Serena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colo Colo
3-4-2-1- 9J. Correa
- 8Á. Madrid
- 28J. Rojas
- 6T. Alarcón
- 5V. Méndez
- 26D. Ulloa
- 24L. Hernández
- 23A. Vidal
- 2J. Villagra
- 4J. Sosa
- 25G. Maureira
D. La Serena
3-4-3- 10J. Vargas
- 23M. Marín
- 2G. Figueroa
- 14F. Chamorro
- 26F. Dinamarca
- 4F. Mac Allister
- 21B. Gutiérrez
- 34I. Rasso
- 33R. Delgado
- 5L. Alarcón
- 31J. Tapia
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colo Colo have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; D. La Serena have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(away) | 2-5 | Primera División |
| Sep 29, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(away) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 25, 2026 | A. Italiano(home) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 22, 2026 | A. Italiano(away) | 0-0 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Concepción(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton de Vina(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nublense(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Union La Calera(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 3-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Colo Colo wins, 1 draw, 0 D. La Serena wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | D. La Serena 2-4 Colo Colo | Primera División |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Colo Colo 2-1 D. La Serena | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2025 | D. La Serena 1-3 Colo Colo | Primera División |
| Jul 11, 2022 | Colo Colo 3-0 D. La Serena | Primera División |
| Feb 13, 2022 | D. La Serena 1-1 Colo Colo | Primera División |
| Oct 20, 2021 | D. La Serena 1-4 Colo Colo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: D. La Serena vs Colo Colo on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colo Colo score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; D. La Serena score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colo Colo | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| D. La Serena | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colo Colo sit 1st in Primera División (54 points from 24 matches) and D. La Serena sit 11th (30 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 54 |
| 11 | D. La Serena | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 41 | 30 |
A question about Colo Colo vs D. La Serena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colo Colo vs D. La Serena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colo Colo the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for D. La Serena.
- Where and when is Colo Colo vs D. La Serena played?
- Colo Colo vs D. La Serena is played on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Monumental David Arellano, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.