D. La Serena vs A. Italiano: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 30Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Portada de La Serena, La Serena
The Footlab AI model makes D. La Serena the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for A. Italiano. The most likely score is 1-1. If D. La Serena wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,151 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win D. La Serena vs A. Italiano?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate D. La Serena (1,707) and A. Italiano (1,763).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for D. La Serena vs A. Italiano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
D. La Serena
4-2-3-1- 11D. Rubio
- 10J. Vargas
- 23M. Marín
- 8G. Escalante
- 4F. Mac Allister
- 14F. Chamorro
- 34I. Rasso
- 33R. Delgado
- 5L. Alarcón
- 17Y. Salazar
- 31J. Tapia
A. Italiano
4-4-2- 11F. Troyansky
- 9D. Coelho
- 8M. Collao
- 19C. Pinares
- 28F. Mateos
- 7P. Guajardo
- 3F. Salomoni
- 29M. Ortiz
- 35R. Rebolledo
- 13E. Ferrario
- 1T. Ahumada
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 08:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, D. La Serena have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; A. Italiano have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Huachipato(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Concepción(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton de Vina(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Deportes Limache(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 28, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Huachipato(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Colo Colo(away) | 0-1 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 D. La Serena win, 1 draw, 4 A. Italiano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | A. Italiano 1-1 D. La Serena | Primera División |
| May 9, 2026 | D. La Serena 2-4 A. Italiano | Copa De La Liga |
| Mar 25, 2026 | A. Italiano 3-1 D. La Serena | Copa De La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | D. La Serena 2-1 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| May 4, 2025 | A. Italiano 2-1 D. La Serena | Primera División |
| Nov 6, 2022 | A. Italiano 3-0 D. La Serena | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: A. Italiano vs D. La Serena on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
D. La Serena score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; A. Italiano score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. La Serena | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| A. Italiano | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
D. La Serena sit 9th in Primera División (37 points from 27 matches) and A. Italiano sit 13th (30 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | D. La Serena | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 40 | 42 | 37 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 36 | 30 |
A question about D. La Serena vs A. Italiano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for D. La Serena vs A. Italiano?
- The Footlab AI model makes D. La Serena the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for A. Italiano.
- Where and when is D. La Serena vs A. Italiano played?
- D. La Serena vs A. Italiano is played on December 6, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Portada de La Serena, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.