Concepción vs Universidad de Chile: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, Concepción
The Footlab AI model makes Universidad de Chile the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Concepción. The most likely score is 1-1. If Universidad de Chile wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Concepción vs Universidad de Chile?
Universidad de Chile starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,899 vs 1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Concepción vs Universidad de Chile
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Concepción
4-1-4-1- 32J. Larrivey
- 20J. Henríquez
- 16M. Sandoval
- 30E. Espinoza
- 23C. Riquelme
- 18Y. Rodríguez
- 21N. Rodríguez
- 4A. Cáceres
- 29D. Varas
- 37F. Grillo
- 25N. Araya
Universidad de Chile
4-2-3-1- 11E. Vargas
- 15T. Reinhart
- 7M. Guerrero
- 28A. Arce
- 20C. Aránguiz
- 23I. Vásquez
- 22M. Zaldivia
- 5N. Ramírez
- 14M. Morales
- 3I. Lichnovsky
- 25G. Castellón
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Concepción have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Universidad de Chile have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | O'Higgins(away) | 0-2 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 30, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 0-1 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Curico Unido(home) | 2-0 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 4-0 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Nublense(home) | 6-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Antofagasta(away) | 0-2 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Everton de Vina(home) | 1-1 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Everton de Vina(away) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 13, 2026 | D. La Serena(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Concepción wins, 0 draws, 1 Universidad de Chile win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Universidad de Chile 2-1 Concepción | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Universidad de Chile vs Concepción on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Concepción score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Universidad de Chile score 2.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concepción | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Universidad de Chile | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Concepción sit 8th in Primera División (32 points from 24 matches) and Universidad de Chile sit 2nd (45 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 19 | 45 |
| 8 | Concepción | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 27 | 32 |
A question about Concepción vs Universidad de Chile?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Concepción vs Universidad de Chile?
- The Footlab AI model makes Universidad de Chile the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Concepción.
- Where and when is Concepción vs Universidad de Chile played?
- Concepción vs Universidad de Chile is played on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.