Concepción vs Universidad de Chile: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, Concepción
The Footlab model makes Universidad de Chile the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Concepción. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Concepción vs Universidad de Chile?
Universidad de Chile starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,877 vs 1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Concepción have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Universidad de Chile have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cobresal(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | U. Catolica(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 27, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportes Limache(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Union San Felipe(away) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Huachipato(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Concepción win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Universidad de Chile win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Universidad de Chile 2-1 Concepción | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Universidad de Chile vs Concepción on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Concepción score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Universidad de Chile score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concepción | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Universidad de Chile | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Concepción sit 14th in Primera División (14 points from 15 matches) and Universidad de Chile sit 3rd (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 36 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 8 | Concepción | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 24 | 27 |
| 14 | Concepción | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Concepción vs Universidad de Chile?
- The Footlab model makes Universidad de Chile the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Concepción.
- Where and when is Concepción vs Universidad de Chile played?
- Concepción vs Universidad de Chile is played on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.