A Madrid III vs RSD Alcalá: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Cerro del Espino Campo Artificial, Majadahonda
The Footlab AI model makes A Madrid III the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1. If A Madrid III wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win A Madrid III vs RSD Alcalá?
On Elo ratings, A Madrid III has 1,889 points and RSD Alcalá 1,856.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for A Madrid III vs RSD Alcalá
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
A Madrid III
Not enough data to predict the A Madrid III lineup.
RSD Alcalá
4-3-3- 7Albur
- 10Izan
- 23I. Robledo
- 11Javi Hernández
- 7J. Arribas
- 8S. Marcos
- 12M. Lopez
- 5J. Jimenez
- 22D. Nieto
- 4Chete
- 1I. Gil
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 07:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, A Madrid III have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; RSD Alcalá have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | CF Talavera(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Albacete II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 1-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
A Madrid III score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; RSD Alcalá score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Madrid III | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| RSD Alcalá | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
A Madrid III sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (17 points from 9 matches) and RSD Alcalá sit 14th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | A Madrid III | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 17 |
| 14 | RSD Alcalá | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 8 |
A question about A Madrid III vs RSD Alcalá?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for A Madrid III vs RSD Alcalá?
- The Footlab AI model makes A Madrid III the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for RSD Alcalá.
- Where and when is A Madrid III vs RSD Alcalá played?
- A Madrid III vs RSD Alcalá is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Cerro del Espino Campo Artificial, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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