Match

Real Ávila vs Navalcarnero: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, Ávila

Real ÁvilaNavalcarnero

The Footlab AI model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Navalcarnero. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Ávila wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,966 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Ávila vs Navalcarnero?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Real Ávila (1,865) and Navalcarnero (1,910).

46%27%27%
Real Ávila winDrawNavalcarnero win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Ávila vs Navalcarnero

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Ávila

4-4-2
  1. 9D. Lorenzo
  2. 12Carlos Pérez
  1. 30M. Sarr
  2. 7Runy
  3. 16M. Ruiz
  4. 8Filipe Sissé
  1. 23G. L. Urbina
  2. 5C. Pascual
  3. 22F. Garrido Diaz
  4. 3Michael Ngaah
  1. 1O. Lopez

Navalcarnero

4-3-3
  1. 11M. Jimenez
  2. 9Vizuete Perez Jaime
  3. 24A. Altube Suarez
  1. 14Javi Bueno
  2. 21I. Perera
  3. 15J. Cruz
  1. 6R. de Souza
  2. 5A. Espinola
  3. 3Juanmi
  4. 19A. Aunon
  1. 1A. Calado

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 05:15 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Ávila have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Navalcarnero have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Ávila
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Real Valladolid II(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Numancia(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026SS Reyes(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Getafe II(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 20, 2026Calvo Sotelo(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Navalcarnero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Salamanca UDS(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 14, 2026Recreativo Huelva(away)2-2Copa Federacion
Oct 11, 2026A Madrid III(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 30, 2026Real Murcia(home)3-1Copa Federacion

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Ávila wins, 0 draws, 2 Navalcarnero wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 13, 2026Navalcarnero 2-1 Real ÁvilaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Aug 14, 2024Navalcarnero 2-0 Real ÁvilaFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Navalcarnero vs Real Ávila on Sep 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Ávila score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Navalcarnero score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Ávila1.31.649/1511/15
Navalcarnero1.81.1410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Ávila sit 13th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (7 points from 7 matches) and Navalcarnero sit 11th (8 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Navalcarnero6222998
13Real Ávila72147117

A question about Real Ávila vs Navalcarnero?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Ávila vs Navalcarnero?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Navalcarnero.
Where and when is Real Ávila vs Navalcarnero played?
Real Ávila vs Navalcarnero is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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