A. Schimatari vs Asteras Stavros: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5Group 5 - 8Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes A. Schimatari the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Asteras Stavros. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win A. Schimatari vs Asteras Stavros?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate A. Schimatari (1,478) and Asteras Stavros (1,507).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, A. Schimatari have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Asteras Stavros have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lefkimmi(away) | 2-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Nea Selefkia(home) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Anagennisi Artas(home) | 3-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Proodos Rogon(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Elassona(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Tilikratis(home) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Aris Filiates(away) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Lamia(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Trikala(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 A. Schimatari win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Asteras Stavros win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | A. Schimatari 2-1 Asteras Stavros | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Asteras Stavros 2-1 A. Schimatari | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: A. Schimatari vs Asteras Stavros on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
A. Schimatari score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Asteras Stavros score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Schimatari | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Asteras Stavros | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for A. Schimatari vs Asteras Stavros?
- The Footlab model makes A. Schimatari the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Asteras Stavros.
- Where and when is A. Schimatari vs Asteras Stavros played?
- A. Schimatari vs Asteras Stavros is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.