Lamia vs Thiva: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5Group 5 - 8Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Athlitiko Kentro Lamias, Lamia
The Footlab AI model makes Lamia the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Thiva. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lamia vs Thiva?
Lamia starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (1,677 vs 1,443).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lamia vs Thiva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lamia
4-4-1-1- 11A. Vlachomitros
- 8V. Sourlis
- 2A. Dentakis
- 7Rober Ibáñez
- 6V. Sakor
- 36A. Tshibola
- 5N. Gkotzamanidis
- 30Carles Soria
- 21V. Vitlis
- 94Giorgos Giannoutsos
- 28A. Syritoudis
Thiva
Not enough data to predict the Thiva lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lamia have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Thiva have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tamynaikos Aliveriou(home) | 2-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Katsantonis Agrafon(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Trikala(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Tilikratis(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Diagoras Agias(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kifissos(home) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fokikos(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Agios Nikolaos(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Nea Ionia(away) | 0-6 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lamia score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Thiva score 1.0 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamia | 1.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Thiva | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lamia sit 6th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 (3 points from 1 match) and Thiva sit 11th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lamia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Thiva | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
A question about Lamia vs Thiva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lamia vs Thiva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lamia the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Thiva.
- Where and when is Lamia vs Thiva played?
- Lamia vs Thiva is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Athlitiko Kentro Lamias, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.