Aalesund II vs Spjelkavik: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 19Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
The Footlab model makes Spjelkavik the favourite at 47%, against 20% for a draw and 33% for Aalesund II. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aalesund II vs Spjelkavik?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Aalesund II (1,528) and Spjelkavik (1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aalesund II have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Spjelkavik have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Kvik Trondheim(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Herd(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Strindheim(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Orkla(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Byåsen(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | hodd(home) | 1-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Orkla(away) | 5-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strindheim(home) | 0-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Byåsen(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nardo(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aalesund II win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Spjelkavik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Spjelkavik 2-2 Aalesund II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Spjelkavik 4-1 Aalesund II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Aalesund II 2-2 Spjelkavik | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Spjelkavik 2-1 Aalesund II | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Aalesund II 2-1 Spjelkavik | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Spjelkavik 1-1 Aalesund II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
Last archived meeting: Spjelkavik vs Aalesund II on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aalesund II score 1.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Spjelkavik score 2.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund II | 1.7 | 2.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Spjelkavik | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aalesund II sit 14th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (7 points from 9 matches) and Spjelkavik sit 11th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spjelkavik | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 22 |
| 11 | Spjelkavik | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 11 | Aalesund II | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 45 | 16 |
| 14 | Aalesund II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aalesund II vs Spjelkavik?
- The Footlab model makes Spjelkavik the favourite at 47%, against 20% for a draw and 33% for Aalesund II.
- Where and when is Aalesund II vs Spjelkavik played?
- Aalesund II vs Spjelkavik is played on September 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Color Line Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.