Orkla vs Aalesund II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 20Kick-off on September 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Orkla Sparebank Stadion, Fannrem
The Footlab model makes Orkla the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Aalesund II. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orkla vs Aalesund II?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Orkla (1,433) and Aalesund II (1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orkla have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Aalesund II have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spjelkavik(home) | 2-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Melhus(away) | 3-8 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Rosenborg II(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aalesund II(away) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Molde II(home) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Kvik Trondheim(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Herd(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Strindheim(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Orkla(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Byåsen(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Orkla win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aalesund II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aalesund II 4-2 Orkla | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Aalesund II 1-2 Orkla | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Orkla score 1.8 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aalesund II score 1.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orkla | 1.8 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Aalesund II | 1.7 | 2.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orkla sit 10th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (11 points from 9 matches) and Aalesund II sit 14th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Orkla | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 11 | Aalesund II | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 45 | 16 |
| 14 | Orkla | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 47 | 14 |
| 14 | Aalesund II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orkla vs Aalesund II?
- The Footlab model makes Orkla the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Aalesund II.
- Where and when is Orkla vs Aalesund II played?
- Orkla vs Aalesund II is played on September 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Orkla Sparebank Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.