Spjelkavik vs Rosenborg II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 20Kick-off on September 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Spjelkavik kunstgress, Ålesund
The Footlab model makes Spjelkavik the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Rosenborg II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spjelkavik vs Rosenborg II?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Spjelkavik (1,621) and Rosenborg II (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spjelkavik have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Rosenborg II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | hodd(home) | 1-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Orkla(away) | 5-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strindheim(home) | 0-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Byåsen(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nardo(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Molde II(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ranheim II(home) | 7-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Orkla(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Strindheim(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Spjelkavik(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Spjelkavik win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Rosenborg II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Rosenborg II 2-1 Spjelkavik | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Rosenborg II 5-1 Spjelkavik | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Spjelkavik 0-1 Rosenborg II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
Last archived meeting: Rosenborg II vs Spjelkavik on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spjelkavik score 2.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Rosenborg II score 2.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spjelkavik | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Rosenborg II | 2.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spjelkavik sit 11th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (10 points from 9 matches) and Rosenborg II sit 9th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rosenborg II | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 26 | 25 |
| 6 | Spjelkavik | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 22 |
| 9 | Rosenborg II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 11 |
| 11 | Spjelkavik | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spjelkavik vs Rosenborg II?
- The Footlab model makes Spjelkavik the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Rosenborg II.
- Where and when is Spjelkavik vs Rosenborg II played?
- Spjelkavik vs Rosenborg II is played on September 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Spjelkavik kunstgress, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.