Aalesund vs Start: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 20Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
The Footlab model makes Aalesund the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Start. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aalesund vs Start?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Aalesund (1,932) and Start (1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aalesund have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Start have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Langevag(away) | 13-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Valerenga(home) | 5-5 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ham-Kam(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 2-6 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Viking(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flekkefjord(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fredrikstad(home) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Viking(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Rosenborg(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aalesund win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Start win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Start 1-1 Aalesund | Eliteserien |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Start 3-1 Aalesund | 1. Division |
| May 24, 2025 | Aalesund 1-1 Start | 1. Division |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Aalesund 3-1 Start | 1. Division |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Start 1-3 Aalesund | 1. Division |
| Nov 1, 2021 | Aalesund 3-2 Start | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aalesund score 2.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Start score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Start | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aalesund sit 15th in Eliteserien (15 points from 17 matches) and Start sit 16th (10 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Aalesund | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 41 | 15 |
| 16 | Start | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aalesund vs Start?
- The Footlab model makes Aalesund the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Start.
- Where and when is Aalesund vs Start played?
- Aalesund vs Start is played on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Color Line Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.