Start vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand
The Footlab AI model makes Sarpsborg 08 FF the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Start. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sarpsborg 08 FF wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Start vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Start (1,869) and Sarpsborg 08 FF (1,967).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Start vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Start
5-3-2- 20H. Lorentzen
- 17J. Cornelius
- 23E. Segberg
- 10S. Mvoué
- 18M. Ugland
- 3A. Ujkani
- 29E. Reitan
- 6J. Norheim
- 5S. Granheim
- 12D. Dashaev
- 26M. Sjøeng
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-4-2- 11D. Karlsbakk
- 33A. Nibe
- 8S. Christiansen
- 77O. Skarsem
- 10S. Sørli
- 6A. Sher
- 4B. Utvik
- 2M. Lode
- 12C. Niyukuri
- 21A. Hiim
- 87L. Øy
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Start have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Sarpsborg 08 FF have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 2-4 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Raufoss(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sandefjord(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Vindbjart(away) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aalesund(away) | 4-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Follo(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 18, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(home) | 1-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Valerenga(home) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Start wins, 1 draw, 3 Sarpsborg 08 FF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-1 Start | Eliteserien |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Start 3-2 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| Jul 12, 2020 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-0 Start | Eliteserien |
| Jun 10, 2020 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-0 Start | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 7, 2018 | Start 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| May 16, 2018 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-0 Start | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Start on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Start score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sarpsborg 08 FF score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Start sit 16th in Eliteserien (16 points from 22 matches) and Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 9th (28 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 31 | 28 |
| 16 | Start | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 48 | 16 |
A question about Start vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Start vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sarpsborg 08 FF the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Start.
- Where and when is Start vs Sarpsborg 08 FF played?
- Start vs Sarpsborg 08 FF is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sparebanken Sør Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.