Fredrikstad vs Aalesund: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nye Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
The Footlab AI model makes Fredrikstad the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Aalesund. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fredrikstad wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Aalesund?
On Elo ratings, Fredrikstad has 1,980 points and Aalesund 1,926.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fredrikstad vs Aalesund
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fredrikstad
3-4-3- 23H. Skogvold
- 18B. Fiabema
- 7B. Thoresen
- 16D. Eid
- 14M. Nilsson
- 6S. Leach Holm
- 13S. Sørløkk
- 4F. Holmé
- 28S. Owusu
- 38I. Amundsen
- 77M. Børsheim
Aalesund
5-3-2- 27H. M. Reed
- 8I. Skotheim
- 18E. Hagen
- 21M. Christensen
- 15E. Osenbroch
- 14U. Charles
- 7K. Nessø
- 28D. Mbacke
- 3Ó. Guðmundsson
- 22E. Engqvist
- 1Luca Podlech
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fredrikstad have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Aalesund have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Valerenga(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(away) | 1-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(home) | 2-4 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Molde(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Førde(away) | 4-3 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Start(home) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Fredrikstad wins, 2 draws, 0 Aalesund wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Aalesund 2-3 Fredrikstad | Eliteserien |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Aalesund 2-3 Fredrikstad | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Fredrikstad 2-2 Aalesund | 1. Division |
| Jun 12, 2021 | Aalesund 2-2 Fredrikstad | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Aalesund vs Fredrikstad on Apr 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fredrikstad score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aalesund score 2.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrikstad | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Aalesund | 2.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fredrikstad sit 8th in Eliteserien (29 points from 22 matches) and Aalesund sit 14th (21 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | 29 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 50 | 21 |
A question about Fredrikstad vs Aalesund?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fredrikstad vs Aalesund?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fredrikstad the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Aalesund.
- Where and when is Fredrikstad vs Aalesund played?
- Fredrikstad vs Aalesund is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nye Fredrikstad Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.