Aarau W vs Basel W: prediction and stats
AXA Women’s Super LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Basel W the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Aarau W. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aarau W vs Basel W?
Basel W is a heavy favourite: 1,665 Elo points against 1,270, a 395-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aarau W vs Basel W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aarau W
4-3-3- 11A. Klingenstein
- 17J. Steck
- 9A. Rama
- 27C. Hofer
- 8V. Hoti
- 13F. Reinschmidt
- 6B. Asgeirsdottir
- 22M. Stierli
- 4A. Jaggi
- 12E. Elezi
- 1L. Barth
Basel W
4-3-3- 19A. Berti
- 9I. RudeliÄ
- 22Z. Rurack
- 18C. Sow
- 5S. Jackson
- 15A. Baass
- 3W. Zieniewicz
- 10S. Seghir
- 20J. Vojtekova
- 34C. Christen
- 25N. Leivonen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aarau W have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Basel W have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rapperswil Jona W(away) | 2-5 | AXA Women’s Super League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Young Boys W(home) | 1-2 | AXA Women’s Super League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Yverdon W(away) | 1-4 | AXA Women’s Super League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | St. Gallen W(away) | 2-2 | AXA Women’s Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Luzern W(home) | 0-1 | AXA Women’s Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Yverdon W(away) | 2-3 | AXA Women’s Super League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rapperswil Jona W(home) | 2-2 | AXA Women’s Super League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zürich W(away) | 1-1 | AXA Women’s Super League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Grasshopper W(home) | 1-1 | AXA Women’s Super League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | St. Gallen W(home) | 1-0 | AXA Women’s Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aarau W win, 0 draws, 5 Basel W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Aarau W 0-1 Basel W | AXA Women’s Super League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Basel W 2-0 Aarau W | AXA Women’s Super League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Basel W 4-0 Aarau W | AXA Women’s Super League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Aarau W 1-2 Basel W | AXA Women’s Super League |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Basel W 2-0 Aarau W | AXA Women’s Super League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Aarau W 2-1 Basel W | AXA Women’s Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Aarau W score 0.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Basel W score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarau W | 0.7 | 2.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Basel W | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aarau W sit 10th in AXA Women’s Super League (1 point from 8 matches) and Basel W sit 5th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Basel W | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 10 | Aarau W | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 1 |
A question about Aarau W vs Basel W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aarau W vs Basel W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Basel W the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Aarau W.
- Where and when is Aarau W vs Basel W played?
- Aarau W vs Basel W is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the AXA Women’s Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.