ABC vs Guaratinguetá: result 3-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 13Kick-off on July 28, 2012 at 07:20 PM (UTC)Estádio Maria Lamas Farache, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte
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What was the result of ABC vs Guaratinguetá?
ABC won 3-0 on July 28, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 27′ÉdersonABC
- 36′Raul Victor da Silva CajazeirasABC
- 90′Antonio Adriano Antunes de PaulaABC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, ABC have 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Guaratinguetá have 2, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2012 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2012 | Criciuma(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 7, 2012 | Vitoria(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 30, 2012 | ASA(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2012 | BOA(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2012 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 11, 2012 | ASA(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 4, 2012 | São Caetano(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 27, 2012 | Goias(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
ABC score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 12; Guaratinguetá score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABC | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/12 | 7/12 |
| Guaratinguetá | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/12 | 6/12 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy