Parana vs Ceara: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 13Kick-off on July 28, 2012 at 07:20 PM (UTC)Estádio Durival de Britto e Silva, Curitiba, Paraná
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What was the result of Parana vs Ceara?
Parana won 1-0 on July 28, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 30′Fernando Alves Santa ClaraParana
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Parana have 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ceara have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2012 | Criciuma(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2012 | America-RN(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 11, 2012 | Vitoria(away) | 3-4 | Serie B |
| Jul 8, 2012 | BOA(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 30, 2012 | São Caetano(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2012 | ASA(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 17, 2012 | São Caetano(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2012 | America-RN(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 7, 2012 | Criciuma(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 27, 2012 | Ipatinga(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Parana score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 12; Ceara score 1.8 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parana | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/12 | 5/12 |
| Ceara | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Ceara | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 30 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy