Joinville vs America-RN: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 13Kick-off on July 25, 2012 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Arena Joinville, Joinville, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Joinville vs America-RN?
Joinville won 1-0 on July 25, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 51′João Maria Lima do NascimentoJoinville
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Joinville have 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; America-RN have 7, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2012 | CRB(away) | 3-4 | Serie B |
| Jul 17, 2012 | Ipatinga(home) | 6-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2012 | São Caetano(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 7, 2012 | Grêmio Barueri(home) | 4-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 1, 2012 | BOA(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2012 | Ipatinga(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2012 | Parana(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Ceara(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 7, 2012 | CRB(away) | 2-4 | Serie B |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Joinville score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 12; America-RN score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joinville | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/12 | 5/12 |
| America-RN | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/12 | 6/12 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy