Grêmio Barueri vs Criciuma: result 1-4 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 13Kick-off on July 28, 2012 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Prefeito José Liberatti, Osasco, São Paulo
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What was the result of Grêmio Barueri vs Criciuma?
Criciuma won 1-4 on July 28, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 26′LuccaCriciuma
- 27′Thiago Elias Do Nascimento SilvaGrêmio Barueri
- 35′José Carlos Ferreira FilhoCriciuma
- 84′José Carlos Ferreira FilhoCriciuma
- 90′MarlonCriciuma
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grêmio Barueri have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Criciuma have 9, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2012 | São Caetano(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2012 | RB Bragantino(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Ipatinga(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 7, 2012 | Joinville(away) | 0-4 | Serie B |
| Jun 27, 2012 | America Mineiro(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2012 | Parana(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2012 | ABC(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 11, 2012 | BOA(home) | 4-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 7, 2012 | Ceara(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 30, 2012 | CRB(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Grêmio Barueri score 0.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Criciuma score 2.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio Barueri | 0.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Criciuma | 2.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/12 | 11/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy