Abergavenny Town vs Trefelin: result 1-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 10Kick-off on October 21, 2022 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Pen-Y-Pound Stadium, Abergavenny, Monmouthshire
Full time
What was the result of Abergavenny Town vs Trefelin?
Abergavenny Town and Trefelin drew 1-1 on October 21, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 5′M. Jones-ThomasTrefelin
- 26′?Abergavenny Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abergavenny Town have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Trefelin have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2022 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Goytre United(home) | 1-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 30, 2022 | llanelli AFC(away) | 0-6 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Llantwit Major(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 16, 2022 | Treharris Athl. Western(home) | 1-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2022 | Aberfan(away) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Llandrindod Wells(home) | 5-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Aug 29, 2022 | Ynyshir Albions(home) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Abergavenny Town score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Trefelin score 2.8 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abergavenny Town | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Trefelin | 2.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy