Trefelin vs Flint Town United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Ynys Park, Cwmafan
The Footlab model makes Trefelin the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Flint Town United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trefelin vs Flint Town United?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Trefelin (1,761) and Flint Town United (1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trefelin have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Flint Town United have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Llandudno(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Trefelin score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Flint Town United score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trefelin | 2.6 | 1.4 | 7 | 3/15 | 11/15 |
| Flint Town United | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trefelin sit 16th in Premier League (0 points from 4 matches) and Flint Town United sit 13th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Flint Town United | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 | Trefelin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trefelin vs Flint Town United?
- The Footlab model makes Trefelin the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Flint Town United.
- Where and when is Trefelin vs Flint Town United played?
- Trefelin vs Flint Town United is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Ynys Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.