Trefelin vs Flint Town United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Ynys Park, Cwmafan
The Footlab AI model makes Trefelin the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Flint Town United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trefelin wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trefelin vs Flint Town United?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Trefelin (1,798) and Flint Town United (1,796).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trefelin vs Flint Town United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trefelin
4-3-3- 10T. Brock
- 11Lewys Ware
- 7K. Georgievsky
- 19J. Jones
- 20Bayan Aman
- 4L. Gerrard
- 26K. Owen
- 2M. Thomas
- 8J. Davies
- 35Osian Davies
- 1S. Coughlan
Flint Town United
4-3-3- 23I. Modi
- 9T. Owolabi
- 10J. Malkin
- 7Lassana Mendes
- 8B. Hughes
- 3M. Burke
- 5H. Owen
- 2H. Dean
- 19Lee Jonas
- 4H. McGahey
- 1Jack Flint
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trefelin have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Flint Town United have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 4-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(home) | 1-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Trefelin score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Flint Town United score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trefelin | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Flint Town United | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trefelin sit 15th in Premier League (6 points from 13 matches) and Flint Town United sit 14th (8 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Flint Town United | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | 8 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 6 |
A question about Trefelin vs Flint Town United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trefelin vs Flint Town United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Trefelin the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Flint Town United.
- Where and when is Trefelin vs Flint Town United played?
- Trefelin vs Flint Town United is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Ynys Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.