Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 11, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Al Awal Park at King Saud University, Riyadh
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for Al Riyadh. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh?
Al-Nassr is a heavy favourite: 2,084 Elo points against 1,726, a 359-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Nassr
4-4-2- 7Cristiano Ronaldo
- 79João Félix
- 10S. Mané
- 11Samú Costa
- 21K. Coman
- 17Abdullah Al Khaibari
- 12Nawaf Boushal
- 26Íñigo Martínez
- 3M. Simakan
- 70Awad Aman
- 24Bento
Al Riyadh
4-2-3-1- 11H. Al Ali
- 10T. Okou
- 22V. Lekhal
- 14Essam Bahri
- 6K. Keita
- 43B. Mensah
- 12Sulaiman Hazazi
- 26R. Abascal
- 2Sultan Alessa
- 67Mohammed Al Khaibari
- 82M. Borjan
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Nassr have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Al Riyadh have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 3-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al Diriyah(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Al Ain(away) | 0-4 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Abha(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-5 | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Al-Nassr wins, 1 draw, 0 Al Riyadh wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Riyadh 0-4 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Al Riyadh 0-1 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Al-Nassr 5-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Al-Nassr 2-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Al Riyadh 0-1 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| May 23, 2024 | Al Riyadh 2-2 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Nassr score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Riyadh score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Nassr | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Al Riyadh | 1.2 | 1.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Nassr sit 3rd in Pro League (19 points from 8 matches) and Al Riyadh sit 12th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 19 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
A question about Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for Al Riyadh.
- Where and when is Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh played?
- Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh is played on February 11, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Al Awal Park at King Saud University, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.