Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Fateh: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 11, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam
The Footlab model makes Al-Ettifaq the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Al-Fateh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Fateh?
Al-Ettifaq starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Ettifaq have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Fateh have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Fateh(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Jabalain(away) | 0-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al Riyadh(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 0-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-3 | Pro League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Ettifaq win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Al-Fateh win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Fateh 0-1 Al-Ettifaq | Pro League |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq 4-3 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Al-Fateh 2-1 Al-Ettifaq | Pro League |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Al-Ettifaq 1-2 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Al-Fateh 1-2 Al-Ettifaq | Pro League |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Al-Fateh 1-0 Al-Ettifaq | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Ettifaq score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Fateh score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ettifaq | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Fateh | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Ettifaq sit 6th in Pro League (6 points from 3 matches) and Al-Fateh sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al-Ettifaq | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 18 | Al-Fateh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Fateh?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Ettifaq the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Al-Fateh.
- Where and when is Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Fateh played?
- Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Fateh is played on February 11, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.