Match

Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Abou Qir Fertilizers Stadium, Al Mandarah

Abu Qair SemadAsyut Petrol

The Footlab AI model makes Abu Qair Semad the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Asyut Petrol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Abu Qair Semad wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Abu Qair Semad (1,771) and Asyut Petrol (1,718).

42%31%27%
Abu Qair Semad winDrawAsyut Petrol win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Abu Qair Semad

4-5-1
  1. 9Mahmoud Abou Gouda
  1. 30Y. Hamdi
  2. 14R. Milad
  3. 15O. Ibrahim
  4. 23F. Akem
  5. 21Seif Shika
  1. 20Ahmed Awad
  2. 6M. Alaa
  3. 3Gaber Kamel
  4. 27Ahmed Dahesh
  1. 1M. Genesh

Asyut Petrol

3-5-2
  1. 35C. C. Bodne
  2. 22Mohamed Hesha
  1. 7Ahmed Younes
  2. 19I. Abbas
  3. 11Mostafa Sadafa
  4. 26A. R. Al Khamisi
  5. 13Ismail Ashraf
  1. 5Mahmoud Alaa
  2. 20A. Shokry
  3. 24M. Abdel Aleim
  1. 1Amgad Youssef

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:44 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abu Qair Semad have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Asyut Petrol have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Abu Qair Semad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 8, 2026Ghazl El Mehalla(away)1-1League Cup
Sep 15, 2026Al Ahly(away)0-2Premier League
Sep 8, 2026Zamalek SC(away)0-2Premier League
Sep 2, 2026Al Ittihad(home)0-2Premier League
Aug 27, 2026Pyramids FC(away)0-2Premier League
Asyut Petrol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 7, 2026Al Ahly(home)0-5League Cup
Sep 15, 2026Future FC(home)0-2Premier League
Sep 7, 2026Al Ittihad(away)0-1Premier League
Aug 31, 2026National Bank of Egypt(home)0-1Premier League
Aug 26, 2026Smouha SC(away)0-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Abu Qair Semad wins, 3 draws, 1 Asyut Petrol win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 15, 2026Abu Qair Semad 1-0 Asyut PetrolSecond League
Aug 30, 2025Asyut Petrol 0-0 Abu Qair SemadSecond League
Apr 30, 2025Asyut Petrol 1-2 Abu Qair SemadSecond League
Dec 23, 2024Abu Qair Semad 0-0 Asyut PetrolSecond League
Feb 27, 2024Asyut Petrol 1-1 Abu Qair SemadSecond League
Dec 18, 2023Asyut Petrol 2-1 Abu Qair SemadSecond League

Last archived meeting: Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol on Jan 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Abu Qair Semad score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Asyut Petrol score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Abu Qair Semad0.90.874/152/15
Asyut Petrol0.91.346/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Abu Qair Semad sit 17th in Premier League (3 points from 5 matches) and Asyut Petrol sit 19th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Abu Qair Semad5104183
19Asyut Petrol5023152

A question about Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol?
The Footlab AI model makes Abu Qair Semad the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Asyut Petrol.
Where and when is Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol played?
Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol is played on October 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Abou Qir Fertilizers Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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