Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Abou Qir Fertilizers Stadium, Al Mandarah
The Footlab model makes Abu Qair Semad the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Asyut Petrol. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Abu Qair Semad (1,798) and Asyut Petrol (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abu Qair Semad have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Asyut Petrol have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 14, 2026 | Raya Ghazl(home) | 4-0 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Tersana(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | La Viena FC(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Itesalat(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Petrojet(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 14, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | El Mansura(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Raya Ghazl(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Tersana(away) | 1-3 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Abu Qair Semad win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Asyut Petrol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad 1-0 Asyut Petrol | Second League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Asyut Petrol 0-0 Abu Qair Semad | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Asyut Petrol 1-2 Abu Qair Semad | Second League |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Abu Qair Semad 0-0 Asyut Petrol | Second League |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Asyut Petrol 1-1 Abu Qair Semad | Second League |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Asyut Petrol 2-1 Abu Qair Semad | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol on Jan 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Abu Qair Semad score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Asyut Petrol score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abu Qair Semad | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Asyut Petrol | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Abu Qair Semad sit 6th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Asyut Petrol sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Abu Qair Semad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Asyut Petrol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol?
- The Footlab model makes Abu Qair Semad the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Asyut Petrol.
- Where and when is Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol played?
- Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol is played on October 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Abou Qir Fertilizers Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.