Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
The Footlab model makes Smouha SC the favourite at 40%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Ghazl El Mehalla. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Smouha SC (1,768) and Ghazl El Mehalla (1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Smouha SC have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Ghazl El Mehalla have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Pyramids FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Zamalek SC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | AL Masry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Ceramica Cleopatra(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Future FC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Smouha SC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ghazl El Mehalla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | Smouha SC 3-1 Ghazl El Mehalla | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 Smouha SC | Premier League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 Smouha SC | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Smouha SC 2-4 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| May 2, 2023 | Ghazl El Mehalla 0-2 Smouha SC | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Smouha SC 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla on Nov 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Smouha SC score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ghazl El Mehalla score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smouha SC | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Ghazl El Mehalla | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Smouha SC sit 18th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Ghazl El Mehalla sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Smouha SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
- The Footlab model makes Smouha SC the favourite at 40%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Ghazl El Mehalla.
- Where and when is Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla played?
- Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla is played on October 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alexandria Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.