Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Zamalek SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Zamalek SC (1,980) and Al Ahly (2,031).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zamalek SC have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Al Ahly have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Ceramica Cleopatra(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | USM Alger(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| May 9, 2026 | USM Alger(away) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| May 5, 2026 | Smouha SC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Zamalek SC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Al Ahly win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Zamalek SC 0-3 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Al Ahly 2-0 Zamalek SC | Super Cup |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Al Ahly 2-1 Zamalek SC | Premier League |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Zamalek SC 3-0 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Al Ahly 1-1 Zamalek SC | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Al Ahly 0-0 Zamalek SC | Super Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Zamalek SC score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ahly score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zamalek SC | 0.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Al Ahly | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zamalek SC sit 12th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and Al Ahly sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Ahly | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Zamalek SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly?
- The Footlab model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Zamalek SC.
- Where and when is Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly played?
- Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly is played on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Cairo International Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.