Ghazl El Mehalla vs Petrojet: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)El Mahalla Stadium, El-Mahalla El-Kubra
The Footlab model makes Petrojet the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Ghazl El Mehalla. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ghazl El Mehalla vs Petrojet?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Ghazl El Mehalla (1,765) and Petrojet (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ghazl El Mehalla have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Petrojet have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Future FC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 28, 2026 | El Gouna FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ghazl El Mehalla win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Petrojet win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 Petrojet | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Petrojet 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Petrojet 2-1 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Ghazl El Mehalla 2-2 Petrojet | Second League |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 Petrojet | Second League |
| May 24, 2016 | Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 Petrojet | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ghazl El Mehalla vs Petrojet on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ghazl El Mehalla score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Petrojet score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghazl El Mehalla | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Petrojet | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ghazl El Mehalla sit 20th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Petrojet sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Petrojet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Petrojet?
- The Footlab model makes Petrojet the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Ghazl El Mehalla.
- Where and when is Ghazl El Mehalla vs Petrojet played?
- Ghazl El Mehalla vs Petrojet is played on November 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at El Mahalla Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.