AC Milan vs Fiorentina: result 1-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 11, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Full time
What was the result of AC Milan vs Fiorentina?
Fiorentina won 1-3 on November 11, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 10′Alberto AquilaniFiorentina
- 38′Borja ValeroFiorentina
- 60′Giampaolo PazziniAC Milan
- 87′M. El HamdaouiFiorentina
Official lineup for AC Milan vs Fiorentina
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
AC Milan
- 9Alexandre Pato
- 92S. El Shaarawy
- 10K. Boateng
- 18Riccardo Montolivo
- 21Kevin Constant
- 23Massimo Ambrosini
- 2M. De Sciglio
- 5Philippe Mexès
- 25D. Bonera
- 28Urby Vitorrio Diego Emanuelson
- 32Christian Abbiati
Fiorentina
- 11J. Cuadrado
- 30Luca Toni
- 7D. Pizarro
- 10Alberto Aquilani
- 20Borja Valero
- 22A. Ljajić
- 2G. Rodríguez
- 4F. Roncaglia
- 15S. Savić
- 23M. Pasqual
- 1E. Viviano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Fiorentina have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2012 | Malaga(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Chievo(home) | 5-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 30, 2012 | Palermo(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Genoa(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 24, 2012 | Malaga(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2012 | Cagliari(home) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 1, 2012 | Genoa(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 28, 2012 | Lazio(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Chievo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Bologna(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 AC Milan wins, 1 draw, 1 Fiorentina win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | AC Milan 1-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Fiorentina 0-0 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Apr 10, 2011 | Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2010 | AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: AC Milan vs Fiorentina on Apr 7, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fiorentina score 1.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Fiorentina | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Milan sit 4th in Serie A (15 points from 7 matches) and Fiorentina sit 19th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
A question about AC Milan vs Fiorentina?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy