AC Milan vs Inter: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for AC Milan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Inter wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AC Milan vs Inter?
Inter starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (2,301 vs 2,140).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AC Milan vs Inter
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AC Milan
3-4-2-1- 9Gonçalo Ramos
- 21S. Chukwueze
- 2P. Estupiñán
- 12A. Rabiot
- 80Y. Musah
- 22Diego Moreira
- 14L. Modrić
- 31S. Pavlović
- 34Mario Gila
- 5K. De Winter
- 16M. Maignan
Known absences
C. PulišićOut · Calf injury
Inter
3-5-2- 9M. Thuram
- 94F. Esposito
- 32F. Dimarco
- 17A. Diouf
- 22H. Mkhitaryan
- 20H. Çalhanoğlu
- 8P. Sučić
- 31Y. Bisseck
- 30Carlos Augusto
- 28B. Pavard
- 1Josep Martínez
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Inter have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Parma(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 5-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AC Milan wins, 3 draws, 0 Inter wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | AC Milan 1-1 Inter | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 8, 2026 | AC Milan 1-0 Inter | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Inter 0-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Inter 0-3 AC Milan | Coppa Italia |
| Apr 2, 2025 | AC Milan 1-1 Inter | Coppa Italia |
| Feb 2, 2025 | AC Milan 1-1 Inter | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Inter score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Inter | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Milan sit 5th in Serie A (12 points from 6 matches) and Inter sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
A question about AC Milan vs Inter?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AC Milan vs Inter?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for AC Milan.
- Where and when is AC Milan vs Inter played?
- AC Milan vs Inter is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.