Juventus vs Napoli: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Stadium, Torino
The Footlab AI model makes Juventus the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Napoli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Juventus wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventus vs Napoli?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Juventus (2,173) and Napoli (2,147).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Juventus vs Napoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Juventus
3-4-2-1- 9R. Kolo Muani
- 12Douglas Luiz
- 2Z. Çelik
- 22W. McKennie
- 31N. González
- 49G. Makiobo
- 5M. Locatelli
- 3Bremer
- 15P. Kalulu
- 26J. Lucumí
- 25G. Vicario
Napoli
4-2-3-1- 19R. Højlund
- 21M. Politano
- 68S. Lobotka
- 6B. Gilmour
- 11K. De Bruyne
- 70N. Lang
- 13Amir Rrahmani
- 22G. Di Lorenzo
- 16Rafa Marín
- 17M. Olivera
- 32V. Milinković-Savić
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Napoli have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Inter(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Como(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Juventus wins, 1 draw, 3 Napoli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Juventus 3-0 Napoli | Serie A |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Napoli 2-1 Juventus | Serie A |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Napoli 2-1 Juventus | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Juventus 0-0 Napoli | Serie A |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Napoli 2-1 Juventus | Serie A |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Juventus 1-0 Napoli | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Juventus score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Napoli score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Napoli | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juventus sit 7th in Serie A (10 points from 5 matches) and Napoli sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Juventus vs Napoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventus vs Napoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Juventus the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Napoli.
- Where and when is Juventus vs Napoli played?
- Juventus vs Napoli is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Stadium, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.